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The second meeting was set up a week after all the requests for pricing had been submitted. Each response had its pluses and minuses. While most of the nonunion bids were slightly lower, they had certain negative components. For example, the plumbing contractor could not provide the number of skilled plumbers needed just when the project would most require their skill. The heating and cooling contractor cost pennies less than its union counterpart but had fewer licensed specialists on its payroll. The union contractors came in with bids that met all the special requirements and certifications needed, but they were slightly higher in labor cost. After reviewing the bids, John told Peter he’d like to go with the union contractors if the union would lower its cost by two cents per labor hour. That would make the union contractors’ bids economically competitive with nonunion labor. Peter thought the job would hire enough skilled labor to make the project worthwhile, so he’d ask the locals to tap funds from their Market Recovery Program—a fund union members pay into just for this sort of situation—to apply toward labor costs. But labor could offer things—such as certified skilled workers and the resources to commit to completing the job—the nonunion contractors couldn’t, and John knew this.

Consider two facts:

A significant part of the value of many businesses is the real property from which they operate, being factory, warehouse or office premises.

The vast majority of management or employee buy-outs are funded by debt, as employees traditionally do not have large amounts of spare capital.

Obviously, purchasing real property with the business can be a problem for an MBO team, so if you plan for your business to be bought by your management or employees you need to consider whether it is feasible to include in the sale the real property from which the business operates. On the one hand, including the property will push up the sale price but, on the other, excluding it will reduce the hard assets available as security to support the borrowings.

If the company that owns the business also owns the property (as apposed to it being owned by another company or the owner privately) a sale of shares will automatically mean the property will be included in the sale. If you own the property in your own name, you can exclude it from the sale and rent it to the new business. There are also capital tax advantages in owning the property as an individual, rather than through a company.

Once you have decided that an MBO or an EPO is the optimum exit option you should review the ownership of any business properties and allow yourself time to adjust their ownership if necessary, subject to expert advice.

The bear market for credit between 1997 and mid-2002 has put a new focus on valuing corporate credit. The debt-financed equity bull market of the second half of the 1990s was accompanied by historically high default rates and investigations of the management and reporting of corporate balance sheets.

Obviously the standard approach of using rating agency credit ratings to gauge credit risk is no longer sufficient. As a consequence, quantitative approaches have recently gained popularity, particularly structural models based on equity-market inputs. Quantitative models can be used as a tool to provide warning signals or to determine whether the spread on a corporate bond adequately compensates the investor for the risk. Due to the current low-yield/low-return environment the number of investors interested in credit products has grown worldwide. Credit models like KMV or CreditGrades have been developed to meet the growing investor demand.

These enhancements of the Merton model are able to incorporate companyspecific details and can include subjective credit analyst views. With respect to the rapidly expanding credit derivatives market, quantitative models provide critical inputs for valuation and hedging. Default correlation, a major driver for the valuation of credit portfolio products, can be modeled in both structural and reduced form models. Finally, quantitative credit models have become indispensable tools for the risk management of financial institutions.

Although various quantitative models are used by credit investors, two approaches for modeling default have gained widespread acceptance: structural models and reduced-form models. Both of these methods provide estimates of default probabilities or fair market spreads.